April 8th 2014 Update

According to the charts below, we should be rotating into PRECIOUS METALS and ENERGY. The stock market is in LATE STAGE bull market which we anticipate will correct in April and May, rally after June, then TOP out on or about September 11th. Unlimited money printing and currency debasement confuses the issue.
Stocks are adjusting to a higher interest rate environment. Rotate to safety and value. SELL high P/E and stocks that do not perform well in a higher interest rate environment.

We are exercising EXTREME caution now.
2014 FORECAST:
GOLD & SILVER & MOST COMMODITIES = HIGHER
BONDS = NEUTRAL
US DOLLAR = LOWER
STOCKS = Apr/May=Down, Jun/Jul/Aug=Up, Sep 11th TOP
Oct to mid-Nov=DOWN then Dec=UP… UNCHANGED for the year.

Corporations may be able to cook their books for a long, long time, using QE money hordes they borrowed and continue to borrow at near zero percent interest.  They are using these funds to manipulate earning per share.

Money printing and debasement will result in ALL ASSET PRICES (except bonds) heading higher long term, and a lot of the monthly charts have been PERMANENTLY corrupted by all the irrevocable QE “Infinity” underway. QE Infinity = Inflation = STOCK MARKET Infinity? There are TWO economies: the HAVES and the HAVE NOTS. One of them is doing quite well… the other is not.

View our current portfolio here: Current Portfolio Positions (Actual)

View our technical charts and MARKET TIMING INDICATORS here: Portfolio Charts

Wishing you the very best trades,

Alex Nason

Best Guess: We are in a LATE BULL MARKET as of 12/31/13

 

12/31/13: LATE BULL MARKET

 

12/31/13: LATE BULL MARKET

 

 

October 13th Update

Our primary timing signal indicates EXTREME CAUTION. Short term timing indicators are BEARISH. The SPY broke a significant trend line, then reversed and broke out to the upside, but we are going to play it SAFE since the technical picture is OVERBOUGHT and BEARISH. Our best guess is more weeks of EXTREME chop and whipsaw, with an edge to the bears.

We are exercising EXTREME caution now.

Money printing and debasement will result in ALL ASSET PRICES (except bonds) heading higher long term, and a lot of the monthly charts have been PERMANENTLY corrupted by all the irrevocable QE “Infinity” underway. QE Infinity = Inflation = STOCK MARKET Infinity? There are TWO economies: the HAVES and the HAVE NOTS. One of them is doing quite well…

View our current portfolio here: Current Portfolio Positions (Actual)

View our technical charts and MARKET TIMING INDICATORS here: Portfolio Charts

Wishing you the very best trades,

Alex Nason

October Update

Our primary signal just switched to SELL, Lots of short term indicators switched to SELL, and the markets are still working off their overbought condition… The SPY broke a significant trend line today and next stop could be 155 – a test of the bull market uptrend support line. Our best guess is two more weeks of chop, with an edge to the bears now. If the RSI on the daily SPY chart tags 30 we will probably have a nice bounce, re-test of the breakdown, and then further declines.

We are exercising EXTREME caution now.

Money printing and debasement will result in ALL ASSET PRICES (except bonds) heading higher long term, and a lot of the monthly charts have been PERMANENTLY corrupted by all the irrevocable QE “Infinity” underway. QE Infinity = Inflation = STOCK MARKET Infinity? There are TWO economies: the HAVES and the HAVE NOTS. One of them is doing quite well…

View our current portfolio here: Current Portfolio Positions (Actual)

View our technical charts and MARKET TIMING INDICATORS here: Portfolio Charts

Wishing you the very best trades,

Alex Nason

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